I thought that I may win more games with the aggressive 8/2 4/3*. Gammon losses do not cost much equity, so I chose to hit. According to eXtreme 3 ply and a short rollout, hitting does not bring more victories.
Stanley
        
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 112 | 5 point match
Crawford | pip: 111
score: 4
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---aCCCBB---c----bBbabbb--:0:0:1:61:4:0:1:5:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | 3 ply | 8/7 8/2 | eq: +0.153 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.94% (G:11.00% B:0.24%)
42.06% (G:4.78% B:0.15%) | |
|
| 2. | 3 ply | 8/2 4/3* | eq: +0.091 (-0.062) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.94% (G:21.27% B:0.57%)
44.06% (G:21.05% B:1.00%) | |
|
| 3. | 3 ply | 7/6 7/1 | eq: +0.082 (-0.071) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.41% (G:9.17% B:0.19%)
45.59% (G:4.94% B:0.17%) | |
|
| 4. | 2 ply | 8/1 | eq: +0.032 (-0.121) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.07% (G:12.36% B:0.29%)
47.93% (G:9.30% B:0.19%) | |
|
| 5. | 1 ply | 8/2 6/5 | eq: -0.001 (-0.154) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.49% (G:11.12% B:0.32%)
49.51% (G:9.03% B:0.29%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross