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Backgame double shot double

Posted By: Christian Munk-Christensen
Date: Wednesday, 25 August 2010, at 1:35 p.m.

In Response To: Backgame double shot double (storm)

Monster cube at the score. Unlike the others I am not sure about the take but would probably end up taking.

Pass => 68%

T/LS => 60%

T/LG => 32%

T/W => 100%

gammon less TP=8/40=20%

Gammon price= 36/40=very high!

I expect blue to win 15% Gs so the gammonfull TP is 34'ish%.

White is hit on 22 rolls but because of the state of blue's board there is some life after death. I think that white will win 5 of these games.

On the 14 rolls where blue misses, I believe that white will win 10 games. So I expect white to win 15/36 games.

So upon this little analysis I end up on D/T.

Being bored in a Beijing Hotel for once I bothered to write how I'd handle the position over the board and not just writing my quick conclusion.

Messages In This Thread

• Backgame double shot double
  storm -- Tuesday, 24 August 2010, at 8:30 p.m.
  • Backgame double shot double
    johnk -- Tuesday, 24 August 2010, at 9:56 p.m.
  • Backgame double shot double
    Seth -- Tuesday, 24 August 2010, at 10:09 p.m.
  • Backgame double shot double
    Seth -- Tuesday, 24 August 2010, at 10:11 p.m.
  • Backgame double shot double
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 25 August 2010, at 12:46 a.m.
  • Backgame double shot double
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Wednesday, 25 August 2010, at 1:35 p.m.
  • Backgame double shot double
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 25 August 2010, at 1:46 p.m.