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OTB and 3 ply RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 26 August 2010, at 2:39 a.m.

In Response To: This is where my match vs Mochy came unravelled (neilkaz)

OTB I quickly went to hit on my 4 pt and then gradually the gremlins took over and realizing that a 41 backgame isn't that good I finally opted to play bar/21x :(.

According to XG 3 ply RO my play at least isn't a blunder. However, I really should simply try to crush Mochy in this position while he has nothing and pay off to some chances to be jokered a few times and lose forwards.

OH..in the match, this roll basically was my last decent roll and not only did lose this game I lost a doubled G.

I do urge those who want to study this further or who may be using this position for an article to do a 4 ply RO. I have no time for that since my supercomps are still doing XG2 training RO's.

is mochy

score: 5
pip: 220
11 point match
pip: 113
score: 8

is neilkaz
XGID=-eBBaBBBB-a-bB-a---d-a---A:0:0:1:31:8:5:0:11:10
to play 31

1.Rollout1Bar/24 7/4* eq: +1.518
Player:
Opponent:
78.59% (G:62.12% B:25.13%)
21.41% (G:1.67% B:0.10%)
Conf: ± 0.019 (+1.499...+1.537)
Duration: 18 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/21* eq: +1.440 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:
75.43% (G:60.73% B:27.21%)
24.57% (G:1.32% B:0.08%)
Conf: ± 0.021 (+1.419...+1.461)
Duration: 20 minutes 24 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/24 13/10* eq: +1.432 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:
75.97% (G:60.39% B:25.97%)
24.03% (G:1.49% B:0.10%)
Conf: ± 0.021 (+1.411...+1.453)
Duration: 18 minutes 46 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8782117
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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