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tricky 43 - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Saturday, 28 August 2010, at 6:39 a.m.

In Response To: tricky 43 (Keene)

So, Neil got it right! (shock!)

In all honesty, that was the first play I looked at, but dismissed it as ugly and spent a couple of minutes looking at paying now, and hitting. The gammons were so appealing that it made it more attractive to me, however, I decided I didnt like taking gammonish 4 cubes, and figured if I'm missed, then I'm good for 2pts.

is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 104
11 point match
pip: 85
score: 7

is Player 1
XGID=-aCB-CCB-b---B---a-bbbbab-:1:-1:1:34:7:5:0:11:10
to play 34

1.Rollout16/2 5/2eq: +0.260
Player:
Opponent:
66.88% (G:5.70% B:0.10%)
33.12% (G:3.12% B:0.07%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.256...+0.264)
Duration: 11 minutes 23 seconds
2.Rollout113/6eq: +0.248 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
65.48% (G:11.99% B:0.67%)
34.52% (G:2.68% B:0.06%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.244...+0.252)
Duration: 6 minutes 53 seconds
3.3 ply6/3 5/1* eq: +0.117 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:
61.69% (G:12.55% B:0.29%)
38.31% (G:7.61% B:0.13%)
4.3 ply7/4 7/3eq: +0.032 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:
57.17% (G:11.78% B:0.20%)
42.83% (G:7.66% B:0.14%)
5.1 ply13/10 5/1* eq: -0.147 (-0.408)
Player:
Opponent:
57.99% (G:17.01% B:0.20%)
42.01% (G:20.54% B:1.28%)
1 Truncated at 8 moves using 5 ply.
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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