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Rollout: Double 2's in a mutual holding game

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 29 August 2010, at 11:48 p.m.

In Response To: Double 2's in a mutual holding game (Timothy Chow)

I played 20/18(3) 8/6 here. But the rollout slightly prefers volunteering a shot, with 20/16 9/7(2) first and Seth's play 20/18 9/7(2) 8/6 second. I can't fully explain this result but I guess that part of the point is that after 20/16 9/7(2), even White's hit-and-cover numbers aren't that good for her since she's still stuck behind a five-prime with two blots to clean up. So the blot is not really as bad as it visually appears.

gnubg105


1X3X2X2X3O3X ' ' ' '2X '

 ' '2X2O3O2O '3O2O ' ' '

tchow137

Position ID: 3eZgAAzYzQ2AAw Match ID: QQkJABAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 20/16 9/7(2) +0.453
0.7100.1780.008-0.2900.0660.001 +0.541 +0.453
0.0010.0020.001-0.0010.0010.000 0.004 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 894106457 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 20/18 9/7(2) 8/6 +0.440 ( -0.013)
0.7060.1790.006-0.2940.0700.001 +0.528 +0.440
0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.004 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 894106457 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 20/18(3) 8/6 +0.429 ( -0.024)
0.7090.1570.006-0.2910.0560.001 +0.525 +0.429
0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.004 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 894106457 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 9/7(2) 8/4 +0.427 ( -0.026)
0.6980.1800.006-0.3020.0640.001 +0.518 +0.427
0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.004 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 894106457 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 20/16 8/4 +0.395 ( -0.058)
0.6900.1790.008-0.3100.0760.002 +0.490 +0.395
0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.004 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 894106457 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 R 20/16 20/18(2) +0.385 ( -0.069)
0.6980.1620.008-0.3020.0830.001 +0.482 +0.385
0.0020.0020.001-0.0020.0020.000 0.004 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 894106457 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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