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Five Positions from Peever vs Michy Live in Bristol, England

Posted By: Keene
Date: Monday, 30 August 2010, at 7:23 a.m.

In Response To: Five Positions from Peever vs Michy Live in Bristol, England (Paul Weaver)

Interestingly enough, I read this position with the cube action going the other way (i.e. yellow doubles brown). But, here is the rollout for brown on roll. I will do another one with yellow on roll (for my own sanity and sake)

is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 118
7 point match
pip: 129
score: 5

is Player 1
XGID=---aCBBBC--Ab----c-dbc-B--:0:0:-1:00:5:3:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 56.76% (G: 10.72% B: 0.48%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 43.24% (G: 10.12% B: 0.44%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 57.25% (G: 10.01% B: 0.44%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42.75% (G: 10.47% B: 0.56%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.067
Double:+0.398
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.428
Double/Take:+0.398 (-0.030)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.572)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.007 (+0.421...+0.435)
Confidence Double: ± 0.007 (+0.391...+0.405)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 55 minutes 16 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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