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From FLA final - 64

Posted By: Gregg Cattanach
Date: Monday, 30 August 2010, at 1:36 p.m.

In Response To: From FLA final - 64 (Gregg Cattanach)

Surprising different to me. I guess I should have been thinking about the 'rule' that you prefer to clear the bar point before the 8-point when coming in against a 2-point anchor. Stripping the bar is better. My next rolls were 64, 51, 53, 54 which would have cleared the outside points nicely. As played, the 54 left two blots.

Match to 15. Score X-O: 13-13
-------------------------- Move 16 X -------------------------
X to play (6 4)
+24-23-22-21-20-19-------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
| O O O O | | O O |
| O O O O | | O |
| O | | | S
| | | | n
| | | | o
| |BAR| | w
| | | | i
| X | | X | e
| X X | | X |
| O X X X | | X X |
| O X O X X | | X X |
+-1--2--3--4--5--6--------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
Pipcount X: 89 O: 130 X-O: 13-13/15 (20)
CubeValue: 2, O owns Cube
1. M 7/1 7/3 Eq.: 0.497
0.3% 11.6% 74.9% 25.1% 2.2% 0.1%
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.594 ±0.009.
Rollout settings:
Truncated rollout, depth 11,
432 games (equiv. 44158 games),
played 2-ply (precise),
random seed, with race database.
* 2. M 7/1 5/1 Eq.: 0.424 (-0.074)
0.3% 10.5% 71.2% 28.8% 2.9% 0.1%
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.502 ±0.011.
Rollout settings:
Truncated rollout, depth 11,
432 games (equiv. 41836 games),
played 2-ply (precise),
random seed, with race database.

------------------------------ End ----------------------------------

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