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*Spoilers*

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Tuesday, 7 September 2010, at 10:46 p.m.

In Response To: *Spoilers* (johnk)

The reasons for this huge difference at these 2 scores are 1) The leader's basic 4-cube takepoint (if he just takes and never redoubles) is a little higher than the trailer's by something like 26% to 24%. 2) The 4-cube gammon values heavily favor the trailer ATS by around 59% to 38% (there's a point of overage when the leader wins a g while the trailer has no overage). 3) Recube vig is also tilted in favor of the trailer since the leader's 8-cube takepoint is around 30.5% vs. around 20% for the trailer.

If both sides were farther away from victory, say 14a-15a vs. 15a-14a, the 4-cube basic takepoints, the 4-cube gammon prices, and the 8-cube takepoints would be a lot closer to normal and I'd guess the cube actions would be the same for the leader and trailer at these scores as opposed to the huge difference at 7a-8a vs. 8a-7a.

Messages In This Thread

• Another one from Madison
  John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 7 September 2010, at 5:04 a.m.
  • Another one from Madison
    johnk -- Tuesday, 7 September 2010, at 5:12 a.m.
  • *Spoilers*
    Joe Russell -- Tuesday, 7 September 2010, at 7:27 a.m.
    • *Spoilers*
      David -- Tuesday, 7 September 2010, at 7:10 p.m.
      • *Spoilers*
        johnk -- Tuesday, 7 September 2010, at 8:07 p.m.
        • *Spoilers*
          John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 7 September 2010, at 10:46 p.m.
          • *Spoilers*
            Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 8 September 2010, at 5:53 a.m.
  • Another one from Madison
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 7 September 2010, at 1:45 p.m.
  • Another one from Madison
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 7 September 2010, at 3:54 p.m.