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62S-43Z-32R-22E-21S-21?

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 8 September 2010, at 6:50 p.m.

In Response To: 62S-43Z-32R-22E-21S-21? (Timothy Chow)

151


1O ' '2O '5X '3X ' '2X4O

'1X '2O '3O '3O ' ' '4X

62S-43Z-32R-22E-21S-21168


Good problem, Tim.

For the deuce, 13/11 (unstacking the midpoint) looks clear. That leaves an ace. On bold/safe criteria, slotting the 5pt seems indicated, so (prior to seeing a rollout) that's what I would play, even though there's only that one 6pt spare. It looks like a close decision, so I might switch to 13/10 with a couple-point match lead (sort of how I handle opening 64S or 64P vs 64R).

I wouldn't touch the 24pt checker, having a 17-pip deficit (and the 23pt is an inefficient spot to place the trailing back checker). I don't see that 13/11 24/23 does better than 13/10 even isolating the factor of next-turn diversification, looking carefully at Blue's overall point-making numbers.

Nack

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