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Rollout: Some time later in the same game...

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 11 September 2010, at 2:28 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Some time later in the same game... (Timothy Chow)

XG RO gets the same #s as GNU here (no surprise) and I would have dropped OtB. It's a basic reference position along with others of a similar ilk:

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 114
Money session
pip: 41
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-DFa-a-a---------a-cbbbb-A:3:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 80.65% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.35% (G: 3.36% B: 0.04%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.68% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.32% (G: 3.15% B: 0.04%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.579
Redouble:+1.043
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.921 (-0.007)
Redouble/Take:+0.928
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.072)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 79870500
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.003 (+0.918...+0.925)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.007 (+0.921...+0.935)
Double Decision confidence: 95.4%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 55 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21


is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 109
Money session
pip: 41
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-DFa-a------a----a-cbbbb-A:3:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 81.95% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 18.05% (G: 2.43% B: 0.04%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79.22% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.78% (G: 2.21% B: 0.04%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.614
Redouble:+1.124
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.951 (-0.049)
Redouble/Take:+1.017 (+0.017)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 79870500
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.003 (+0.948...+0.954)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.006 (+1.011...+1.023)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21


is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 106
Money session
pip: 41
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-DFa-a------a------ccbbb-A:3:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 80.23% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.77% (G: 2.35% B: 0.02%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.19% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.81% (G: 2.36% B: 0.04%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.581
Redouble:+1.080
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.944 (-0.026)
Redouble/Take:+0.970
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.030)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 79870500
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.003 (+0.941...+0.947)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.006 (+0.964...+0.976)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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