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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout: Some time later in the same game...
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Rollout: Some time later in the same game... (Timothy Chow)
Date: Saturday, 11 September 2010, at 2:28 a.m.
XG RO gets the same #s as GNU here (no surprise) and I would have dropped OtB. It's a basic reference position along with others of a similar ilk:
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 114Money session pip: 41
score: 0
is Player 1
XGID=-DFa-a-a---------a-cbbbb-A:3:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:0:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 80.65% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 19.35% (G: 3.36% B: 0.04%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 77.68% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 22.32% (G: 3.15% B: 0.04%) Cubeless Equities No Redouble: +0.579 Redouble: +1.043 Cubeful Equities No Redouble: +0.921 (-0.007) Redouble/Take: +0.928 Redouble/Drop: +1.000 (+0.072) Best Cube action: Redouble / Take Rollout details 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 79870500
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Redouble: ± 0.003 (+0.918...+0.925) Confidence Redouble: ± 0.007 (+0.921...+0.935) Double Decision confidence: 95.4% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 2 minutes 55 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 109Money session pip: 41
score: 0
is Player 1
XGID=-DFa-a------a----a-cbbbb-A:3:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:0:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 81.95% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 18.05% (G: 2.43% B: 0.04%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 79.22% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 20.78% (G: 2.21% B: 0.04%) Cubeless Equities No Redouble: +0.614 Redouble: +1.124 Cubeful Equities No Redouble: +0.951 (-0.049) Redouble/Take: +1.017 (+0.017) Redouble/Drop: +1.000 Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop Rollout details 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 79870500
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Redouble: ± 0.003 (+0.948...+0.954) Confidence Redouble: ± 0.006 (+1.011...+1.023) Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 1 minute 47 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 106Money session pip: 41
score: 0
is Player 1
XGID=-DFa-a------a------ccbbb-A:3:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:0:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 80.23% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 19.77% (G: 2.35% B: 0.02%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 78.19% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 21.81% (G: 2.36% B: 0.04%) Cubeless Equities No Redouble: +0.581 Redouble: +1.080 Cubeful Equities No Redouble: +0.944 (-0.026) Redouble/Take: +0.970 Redouble/Drop: +1.000 (+0.030) Best Cube action: Redouble / Take Rollout details 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 79870500
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Redouble: ± 0.003 (+0.941...+0.947) Confidence Redouble: ± 0.006 (+0.964...+0.976) Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 1 minute 58 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
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