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Longer rollout with variance reduction

Posted By: Stanley E. Richards
Date: Saturday, 11 September 2010, at 4:34 p.m.

In Response To: Rare XG occurrence (Stanley E. Richards)

My error threshold is .04. My blunder threshold is .08. Snowie would frequently rate one of my moves as a major blunder or severe error when it was a small error or a non-error. This is the first time that XG 3 ply has screamed at me when my play was a simple error.

Stanley

		White is Player 2 score: 2 pip: 111 7 point match pip: 132 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-aBBCBB----B--aAbbcbbAa-:1:-1:1:64:0:2:0:7:10
Blue to play 64

1.	Rollout1	23/13	eq: +0.495
	Player: Opponent: 73.08% (G:13.22% B:0.58%) 26.92% (G:7.16% B:0.07%) Conf: ± 0.006 (+0.489...+0.501) Duration: 1 hour 31 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/3*	eq: +0.492 (-0.003)
	Player: Opponent: 70.67% (G:23.65% B:1.67%) 29.33% (G:15.67% B:1.17%) Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.484...+0.500) Duration: 1 hour 31 minutes
3.	Rollout1	23/17 13/9	eq: +0.471 (-0.024)
	Player: Opponent: 72.95% (G:14.06% B:0.53%) 27.05% (G:10.47% B:0.20%) Conf: ± 0.006 (+0.465...+0.477) Duration: 1 hour 36 minutes
4.	Rollout1	23/17 6/2	eq: +0.439 (-0.056)
	Player: Opponent: 71.21% (G:14.52% B:0.56%) 28.79% (G:10.62% B:0.21%) Conf: ± 0.007 (+0.432...+0.446) Duration: 1 hour 53 minutes
5.	1 ply	17/7	eq: +0.336 (-0.159)
	Player: Opponent: 65.86% (G:15.61% B:1.31%) 34.14% (G:12.77% B:0.13%)
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

		White is Player 2 score: 2 pip: 111 7 point match pip: 132 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-aBBCBB----B--aAbbcbbAa-:1:-1:1:64:0:2:0:7:10
Blue to play 64

1.	3 ply	13/3*	eq: +0.584
	Player: Opponent: 72.59% (G:23.85% B:1.82%) 27.41% (G:13.62% B:0.91%)
2.	3 ply	23/17 13/9	eq: +0.516 (-0.068)
	Player: Opponent: 74.34% (G:13.26% B:0.66%) 25.66% (G:9.67% B:0.29%)
3.	3 ply	23/13	eq: +0.476 (-0.108)
	Player: Opponent: 72.95% (G:11.44% B:0.49%) 27.05% (G:6.93% B:0.09%)
4.	3 ply	23/17 6/2	eq: +0.412 (-0.172)
	Player: Opponent: 70.37% (G:12.41% B:0.65%) 29.63% (G:10.20% B:0.18%)
5.	1 ply	17/7	eq: +0.336 (-0.248)
	Player: Opponent: 65.86% (G:15.61% B:1.31%) 34.14% (G:12.77% B:0.13%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Rare occurrence
  Stanley E. Richards -- Thursday, 9 September 2010, at 3:21 p.m.
  • Rare occurrence
    Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 9 September 2010, at 5:17 p.m.
    • Rare occurrence
      christian munk-christensen -- Friday, 10 September 2010, at 6:58 p.m.
  • Rare occurrence
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 9 September 2010, at 9:53 p.m.
  • Rare occurrence
    Joe Russell -- Thursday, 9 September 2010, at 11:34 p.m.
  • Rare occurrence
    Stein Kulseth -- Friday, 10 September 2010, at 8:56 a.m.
  • Rare occurrence
    Alfred Mamlet -- Friday, 10 September 2010, at 12:45 p.m.
  • Rare XG occurrence
    Stanley E. Richards -- Saturday, 11 September 2010, at 4:24 a.m.
    • Rare XG occurrence
      Stick -- Saturday, 11 September 2010, at 4:30 a.m.
      • Rare XG occurrence
        Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 11 September 2010, at 3:46 p.m.
        • Rare XG occurrence
          neilkaz -- Saturday, 11 September 2010, at 4:14 p.m.
    • Longer rollout with variance reduction
      Stanley E. Richards -- Saturday, 11 September 2010, at 4:34 p.m.
      • Longer rollout with variance reduction
        Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 11 September 2010, at 10:04 p.m.
    • Rare XG occurrence
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 11 September 2010, at 9:30 p.m.