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BGonline.org Forums
How well would a bot do in a human tournament?
Posted By: phil simborg In Response To: How well would a bot do in a human tournament? (Timothy Chow)
Date: Saturday, 18 September 2010, at 8:20 p.m.
A lot depends on the phrasing of the question. I wouldn't bet on the best player in the world to win a tournament in a room full of people...the odds against anyone winning is poor. But I would bet the bot against anyone else in the room, either in a single 25 point match or betting on who is more likely to win the tournament.
You original post implies that the human has an advantage in being able to exploit weaknesses. This only applies when playing poorer players anyway, as good players who play equal or better players do no exploiting at all. And it also assumes that players who do change their checker and cube decisions to "exploit" are, in fact, actually increasing their equity when they make those shifts...and that subject, in itself, is highly debatable and those strategies can backfire, and when they do, it results in a far greater loss of equity than might have been gained.
I think the real question being asked here is this: is xgr+ the favorite, or more likely to win than any other entrant, I believe the answer is "yes." And that doesn't matter whether the room is full of open players, Giants, or a mix of both open and average players. Would I bet on xgr+ to win? No. I wouldn't bet on any one entrant to win without huge odds, but the odds for xgr+ would not have to be as high as, say, Mochy.
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