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BGonline.org Forums
let's go wilde!
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: let's go wilde! (alex21)
Date: Monday, 20 September 2010, at 10:51 p.m.
You'll probably get more comments if you don't post the rollout at first.
Anyway, I don't think I would analyze this position in terms of the 5 buried checkers. It looks to me like a pay-now-or-later problem. Your 4-point and 5-point gaps are likely to result in shots later, when your opponent's board is stronger. You have to leave a direct shot now anyway, so there is something to be said for taking the opportunity to strengthen your board now (useful if a blot-hitting contest materializes, which is not unlikely) and greatly reducing your future shot danger.
At the same time, leaving a double shot when it doesn't completely solve all your problems even when you are not hit is not an obvious play. So I would find this a difficult decision OTB. But perhaps you can at least see the merits of the point-making play. If you're still not convinced, try playing the position out interactively a few times and see how often you are forced to leave a shot later after playing 13/6 now.
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