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RO

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 22 September 2010, at 2:48 a.m.

In Response To: RO (John O'Hagan)

I see you have MCG syndrome, must be catchy. Normally you want to roll out the same position as you post for maximum effectiveness ;) I knew the size of the recube in your rollout didn't sit well with what I had thought thus I checked for the MCG/Simborg disease.

The way you phrased your posting makes me think you rolled out the correct position and accidentally posted a variation you were looking at. I don't think you'd call what you posted a "Close double, easy take. I can remove these two posts if you want but I think some people might be interested to see what a big difference a pip can make so I left them.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 21
13 point match
pip: 34
score: 1

is Player 1
XGID=---------------A---Aa-bcd-:1:-1:-1:00:1:0:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 68.41% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.59% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.30% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.70% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.368
Redouble:+0.761
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.658 (-0.001)
Redouble/Take:+0.659
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.341)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 24983242
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.003 (+0.655...+0.661)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.005 (+0.654...+0.665)
Double Decision confidence: 67.1%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 25.6 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Stick

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