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63: Hit or not; efficiency - Rollout result

Posted By: storm
Date: Friday, 24 September 2010, at 5:07 p.m.

In Response To: 63: Hit or not; efficiency. (storm)

I managed to convince myself that owning the cube, 13/4 might be best. This was rolled out on a Windows machine by gnu, no idea why it skipped three games for the second move.

7pt match: Opponent 0, Steaminator 1

Opponent98


2X1X2X2X2X2X2O1X ' ' '3O

1X2O2O3O '3O ' ' ' ' '2X

Steaminator115

Position ID: a9sEAyC2c8DBAA Match ID: UQnvAAAACAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/7 4/1* -0.010
0.4920.1930.008-0.5080.2820.004 -0.126 +0.002
0.0010.0020.002-0.0010.0020.001 0.004 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 900947538 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
• 2 R 13/4 -0.027 ( -0.017)
0.4470.0510.001-0.5530.1200.002 -0.190 -0.015
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0020.000 0.003 0.004
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1293 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 900947538 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 2 13/7 6/3 -0.186 ( -0.177)
0.428 0.080 0.001 - 0.572 0.226 0.005
4 0 18/9 -0.599 ( -0.589)
0.322 0.088 0.004 - 0.678 0.393 0.010
5 0 13/10 13/7 -0.775 ( -0.766)
0.313 0.097 0.002 - 0.687 0.493 0.060

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