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U made a nice comeback; don't blow it...

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 6:04 p.m.

In Response To: U made a nice comeback; don't blow it... (Chuck Bower)

12/11 and 20/17. I think there are two plays to look at, 12/11 8/5 and 12/11 20/17. Compared to 8/5, 20/17 will do better against white's 4s except 41 (if White stays on the 18, having the spare on the 8 is valuable, and in all variations, more shots. 8/5 will do better against aces, but the swing is not that big as it may seen because White needs to escape or will crack after pick and pass.

Both plays are OK against White rolls that do not include 4s and 1s, and I do not see that much difference between the two in that case, 8/5 creates more attack numbers, but 20/17 controls the outfield better. In both cases we'd have a good recube.

So 20/17 because the swing on the 4s is bigger than the swing on the aces.

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