BGonline.org Forums

Rollout of my decision on the next roll

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 11:10 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Play on? (Timothy Chow)

As predicted, not quite too good.

gnubg	89
tchow	46
Position ID: tu0NABDnbgMAAA Match ID: UQkJABAAEAAA

• tchow moves 6/2*(2)

Alert: missed double ( -0.025)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.896
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000
2.	Double, take	+1.722	+0.722
3.	No double	+0.975	-0.025
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player tchow owns 2-cube 0.928 0.040 0.001 - 0.072 0.000 0.000 +0.896 +0.975 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.924 0.044 0.000 - 0.076 0.000 0.000 +1.783 +1.722 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.004
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 900729324 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Play on?
  Timothy Chow -- Friday, 24 September 2010, at 9:56 p.m.
  • Play on?
    Stick -- Friday, 24 September 2010, at 10:22 p.m.
    • Play on?
      neilkaz -- Friday, 24 September 2010, at 11:09 p.m.
  • Play on?
    christian munk-christensen -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 7:23 a.m.
    • Play on?
      Dmitriy Obukhov -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 7:30 a.m.
      • Play on?
        Stick -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 8:12 a.m.
        • Play on?
          Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 8:22 a.m.
        • Play on?
          Dmitriy Obukhov -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 9:57 p.m.
          • Play on?
            Bob Koca -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 10:48 p.m.
            • Play on?
              Dmitriy Obukhov -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 11:44 p.m.
              • Play on?
                Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 26 September 2010, at 1:51 a.m.
        • Outlier
          Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 26 September 2010, at 1:17 a.m.
          • Outlier
            Stick -- Sunday, 26 September 2010, at 1:20 a.m.
            • Outlier
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 26 September 2010, at 3:42 a.m.
              • Lonely at the top?
                Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 26 September 2010, at 5:35 p.m.
                • Lonely at the top?
                  Stick -- Sunday, 26 September 2010, at 7:32 p.m.
      • Play on?
        neilkaz -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 2:43 p.m.
  • Play on?
    Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 8:12 a.m.
  • Play on?
    Kye Hedlund -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 5:20 p.m.
    • Play on?
      Bob Koca -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 5:57 p.m.
  • Rollout: Play on?
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 10:07 p.m.
    • Rollout of my decision on the next roll
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 25 September 2010, at 11:10 p.m.