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8-cube action @ 12-away 17-away - RO
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: 8-cube action @ 12-away 17-away (Daniel Murphy)
Date: Wednesday, 6 October 2010, at 5:27 p.m.
The score (after 0 games) is: Blanc 0, Bleu 5 (match to 17 points)
Bleu on roll, cube decision?
Blanc 56
Bleu 67 Position ID: 770BACDu3QYQAA Match ID: UgkgAgAAKAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.7377 (Money: +0.7449) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.9691 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0309 3. No double +0.8623 -0.1068 Proper cube action: Redouble, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Bleu owns 4-cube 0.8631 0.0218 0.0003 - 0.1369 0.0034 0.0001 +0.7377 +0.8623 Standard error 0.0003 0.0004 0.0001 - 0.0003 0.0001 0.0000 0.0007 0.0008 Player Blanc owns 8-cube 0.8614 0.0239 0.0009 - 0.1386 0.0030 0.0000 +1.1777 +0.9691 Standard error 0.0004 0.0009 0.0003 - 0.0004 0.0002 0.0008 0.0016 0.0025 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 898309038 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Does relative strength make a difference? See Henrik Bukkjaer's rollouts with Jacobs MET. Summary:
+100 NR/Take +50 NR/Take +0 RD/Take -50 RD/Pass -100 RD/Pass
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