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Rollout
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: Another 4th roll position (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Tuesday, 10 July 2007, at 4:19 a.m.
Making the anchor came out better than I remembered. There's some merit to 24/21 13/10(2) 8/5, but not enough. And the top two are massively TCTC and need at least 5000, or 10000, or 46656 trials. I think I slightly prefer making the 10 point, though.
The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0
Move number 6: Blue to play 33
White 154
Blue 164 Position ID: 4PPBASLQc+QBMA Match ID: cIkNAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 13/4* 8/5 +0.3940
0.5838 0.2124 0.0094 - 0.4162 0.1179 0.0077 +0.2640 +0.3940 0.0016 0.0019 0.0007 - 0.0016 0.0015 0.0005 0.0045 0.0132 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069284448 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 13/10(2) 11/5 +0.3887 ( -0.0054)
0.5883 0.1886 0.0077 - 0.4117 0.1045 0.0047 +0.2637 +0.3887 0.0015 0.0020 0.0005 - 0.0015 0.0015 0.0005 0.0038 0.0103 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069284448 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 24/21(2) 11/5 +0.3670 ( -0.0270)
0.5841 0.1478 0.0048 - 0.4159 0.0689 0.0024 +0.2495 +0.3670 0.0015 0.0020 0.0003 - 0.0015 0.0012 0.0002 0.0037 0.0098 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1220 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069284448 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 24/21 13/10(2) 8/5 +0.3279 ( -0.0661)
0.5761 0.1729 0.0074 - 0.4239 0.1101 0.0060 +0.2166 +0.3279 0.0021 0.0026 0.0008 - 0.0021 0.0022 0.0007 0.0057 0.0141 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 737 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069284448 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 R 24/21 8/5 6/3(2) +0.2843 ( -0.1097)
0.5646 0.1647 0.0058 - 0.4354 0.1063 0.0043 +0.1892 +0.2843 0.0020 0.0027 0.0012 - 0.0020 0.0019 0.0006 0.0053 0.0135 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 736 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069284448 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 6 R 11/5 6/3(2) +0.2686 ( -0.1254)
0.5628 0.1660 0.0060 - 0.4372 0.1085 0.0045 +0.1846 +0.2686 0.0020 0.0023 0.0007 - 0.0020 0.0020 0.0004 0.0051 0.0132 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 736 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069284448 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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