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RO at 11a-11a

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Tuesday, 12 October 2010, at 3:52 a.m.

In Response To: RO (John O'Hagan)

The huge take for the trailer at 8a-5a turns into a pass at this tie score. The taker can't recube nearly as early ATS and g's are equally valuable for both sides. Plus notice that White wins a net of about 4% bg's which have full value ATS but very little for the leader at 5a-8a.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
11 point match
pip: 129
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aaCBBB-B---dB--aa-cb-b-B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 65.71% (G: 39.47% B: 4.33%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.29% (G: 9.79% B: 0.72%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 65.98% (G: 40.95% B: 4.46%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.02% (G: 9.93% B: 0.74%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.655
Double:+1.377
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.746 (-0.254)
Double/Take:+1.068 (+0.068)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.024 (+0.723...+0.770)
Confidence Double: ± 0.033 (+1.035...+1.100)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 00 second

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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