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Minimum # of Trials and Confidence

Posted By: Tom Keith
Date: Sunday, 17 October 2010, at 8:19 p.m.

In Response To: Minimum # of Trials and Confidence (Daniel Murphy)

This is excellent advice, worth repeating ...

A sufficient number of trials depends on how close the decision is, the variance in the result, and one's interest in and time available for finding a particularly precise answer. There is no magic minimum number of trials (including 324) that is necessary or sufficient. Many fewer might be enough. Many more might not be enough. And results which are less than "100% certain" are still useful and reliable.

Messages In This Thread

• Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
  Stick -- Friday, 15 October 2010, at 10:21 p.m.
  • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 15 October 2010, at 11:08 p.m.
    • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
      Tom Keith -- Saturday, 16 October 2010, at 1:31 p.m.
  • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
    Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 16 October 2010, at 2:22 a.m.
    • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
      Stick -- Saturday, 16 October 2010, at 5:32 a.m.
      • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
        Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 16 October 2010, at 6:34 p.m.
        • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
          Neil Robins -- Sunday, 17 October 2010, at 5:32 p.m.
          • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
            Stick -- Sunday, 17 October 2010, at 6:19 p.m.
            • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
              eXtreme Gammon -- Sunday, 17 October 2010, at 7:27 p.m.
              • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
                Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 20 October 2010, at 5:55 p.m.
    • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 17 October 2010, at 4:53 p.m.
      • In defense of single trial rollouts
        Tom Keith -- Sunday, 17 October 2010, at 7:46 p.m.
        • In defense of single trial rollouts
          Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 19 October 2010, at 11:42 a.m.
          • In defense of single trial rollouts
            Tom Keith -- Tuesday, 19 October 2010, at 2:54 p.m.
            • In defense of single trial rollouts
              Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 19 October 2010, at 3:56 p.m.
            • In defense of single trial rollouts
              Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 19 October 2010, at 7:18 p.m.
              • In defense of single trial rollouts
                Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 19 October 2010, at 8:42 p.m.
              • In defense of single trial rollouts
                Tom Keith -- Wednesday, 20 October 2010, at 11:17 p.m.
    • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
      Tom Keith -- Sunday, 17 October 2010, at 8:19 p.m.
  • OT Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
    svilo -- Saturday, 16 October 2010, at 8:46 a.m.
  • Minimum # of Trials and Confidence
    higonefive -- Saturday, 16 October 2010, at 11:25 a.m.
  • 324 is basically my minimum.
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 19 October 2010, at 4:50 p.m.