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rollout

Posted By: Stanley E. Richards
Date: Monday, 18 October 2010, at 6:46 a.m.

In Response To: Typical Cube Problem (Stanley E. Richards)

I did not hesitate to recube. XG 3 ply has this as an .046 error to recube.

Stanley





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 134
5 point match
pip: 154
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a---BBBAB---bC---dceAB----:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 67.01% (G: 17.04% B: 0.86%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.99% (G: 7.83% B: 0.50%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.52% (G: 17.19% B: 1.76%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.48% (G: 9.47% B: 0.93%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.465
Redouble:+0.940
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.799 (-0.001)
Redouble/Take:+0.799
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.201)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.010 (+0.788...+0.809)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.016 (+0.784...+0.815)
Double Decision confidence: 53.4%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 41 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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