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61P-21, and opening 21

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Monday, 18 October 2010, at 10:13 a.m.

In Response To: 61P-21, and opening 21 (Nack Ballard)

I haven't looked much deeper than that. It appears that 66, 22 and 44 relatively favor 61P-21$ vs S (compared to 21$ vs S), and that the majority of rolls go the other way but to a lesser extent. Someday, I'll do a more comprehensive analysis.

Meanwhile, here is gnubg-2-ply's take on it:

11 0,0035
22 0,0013
33 0,0008
44 0,0034
55 0,0118
66 0,0039
21 -0,0024
31 -0,0083
41 -0,0007
51 0,0018
61 0,0009
32 0,0015
42 -0,0058
52 0,0011
62 -0,0004
43 0,0005
53 0,0009
63 0,0009
54 0,0020
64 -0,0014
65 0,0013

So, gnubg seems to think that just about the only thing going for the split is the freezing - including that of the 7 for the 21 reply. Also the 64 double hit goes against the slot, as it hurts more when the bar point is made.

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