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64P-52, data for money and save

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 19 October 2010, at 4:16 a.m.

In Response To: 64P-52 at 3-away, 14-away (Michael Nielsen)


2O2X ' ' '4X '2X ' ' '5O

2X ' ' ' '5O '3O ' ' '5X

64P-52


Below is data for 64P-52 (including one clickable rollout link). The first four rollout results are for money; the fifth is for (gammon) save. Bot symbols: ~ Snowie, / GnuBG, < XG 3-ply, ^ XG 4-ply.

In parentheses are percentages for win, gammons for, and gammons against (bgs not listed); S on the left, and D on the right.

[S D13]~31 .. (48.20, 12.90, 17.20) (47.80, 13.70, 16.90)
[S D2] /46 .... (48.06, 12.78, 16.77) (47.90, 13.78, 17.05)
[D S1] <62 ... (48.05, 12.95, 16.87) (47.92, 13.80, 17.05)
[S D5] ^23 ... (48.05, 12.96, 17.04) (47.94, 13.77, 16.99)

s[D S12]/6 .... (47.60, 18.70, 17.14) (46.94, 18.85, 15.88)

For money, the play that gets gammoned more is a mixed bag. However, if we look at the GnuBG rollouts in isolation, for money S gets gammoned more often, and at (gammon) save D gets gammoned more often. Looks significant to me.

Agg (bot aggregate value) for money is about [S D5]. But if the 6k GnuBG rollout is to be trusted, D is best by .012 at (gammon) save, and so D may well overcome the .005 deficit to become best at Michael's 𣛧4 score. Either way, though, there are better props around. :)

Nack

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