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2-away 6-away cube action

Posted By: Joe Russell
Date: Saturday, 23 October 2010, at 10:52 a.m.

In Response To: 2-away 6-away cube action (John O'Hagan)

'I think White needs ~ 23% less 100% of his g chances to take ATS. I'll guess 0.5% gammons here so White needs 22.5% to take.'

Using the R-K Met, white needs 22.6% less 100% of his gammon chances to take. I don't see 0.5% gammons here for white. Using 0.2% gammons would make his take point 22.4%. I think blue's gap on the 5 combined with white's minimal shot equity makes this 2.5 to 3% better than a straight race for white. Blue's single spare on the 6 point may be a tiny factor as well, but one that is likely offset by white's single checker on the 6.

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