| |
BGonline.org Forums
2-away 6-away cube action - RO
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: 2-away 6-away cube action (Daniel Murphy)
Date: Monday, 25 October 2010, at 3:21 p.m.
The score is: White 5, Blue 9 (match to 11 points). Blue on roll
White 113
Blue 100 Position ID: tq0iAQOU+z4AAA Match ID: cAlgAVAASAAA
Blue's position here is one pip worse than the one in the Stick/Mochy/Falafel/Sleepy match. Move a checker from the 7 point to the 6 point to get the original position.
• Blue doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5324 (Money: +0.5371) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.9838 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0162 3. No double +0.8641 -0.1196 Proper cube action: Double, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7626 0.0143 0.0002 - 0.2374 0.0025 0.0000 +0.5324 +0.8641 Standard error 0.0004 0.0019 0.0000 - 0.0004 0.0001 0.0000 0.0010 0.0031 Player White owns 2-cube 0.7726 0.0402 0.0001 - 0.2274 0.0012 0.0000 +1.5213 +0.9838 Standard error 0.0007 0.0042 0.0000 - 0.0007 0.0002 0.0000 0.0035 0.0052 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1426 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 904726169 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
As is often the case with Gnubg analysis of common holding games, 2-ply evaluation is too pessimistic, 3-ply evaluation too optimistic.
Annotation
Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.5231 (Money: +0.5185)
0.7566 0.0084 0.0001 - 0.2434 0.0032 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.9024
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.0976)
3. Double, take +0.8581 ( -0.0443)
Proper cube action: No double, take (31.2%)
Cube analysis
3-ply cubeless equity +0.5695 (Money: +0.5639)
0.7786 0.0100 0.0000 - 0.2214 0.0033 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.0000
2. Double, take +1.0109 ( +0.0109)
3. No double +0.8966 ( -0.1034)
Proper cube action: Double, pass
Cube analysis
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5281 (Money: +0.5373)
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.0000
2. Double, take +1.0125 ( +0.0125)
3. No double +0.8762 ( -0.1238)
Proper cube action: Double, pass
Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube:
0.7608 0.0181 0.0001 - 0.2392 0.0025 0.0000 CL +0.5281 CF +0.8762
[0.0004 0.0015 0.0000 - 0.0004 0.0001 0.0000 CL 0.0007 CF 0.0025]
Player White owns 2-cube:
0.7767 0.0538 0.0001 - 0.2233 0.0012 0.0003 CL +1.5402 CF +1.0125
[0.0006 0.0030 0.0002 - 0.0006 0.0002 0.0002 CL 0.0030 CF 0.0044]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 904726169 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
| |
BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.