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Question for Dr. Bower

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 25 October 2010, at 11:45 p.m.

In Response To: A good example (Chuck Bower)

Chuck wrote, "I checked the gamelog on CNN-SI for the situation Bill R. describes on another thread here. OK went for 2 with 6:10 remaining in the game. (In case you're asleep, they failed to convert and trailed by 9.)

"1) They kick off onside and fail to recover.

"2) Missouri immediately gets hit for 15-yard penalty. Then they mill around for a few plays and go for a 4th and 1 at the opponent 45 (successfully). Then MO burns some more clock and punt with 4th and 2 at the opponent 35. (Downed at the 7.)

"3) OK takes over (on their own 7) with no timeouts left, quickly throw three incomplete passes, and then with 2:24 on the clock... punt.

"I guess they figured losing by only 9 would give them a better chance of making a big bowl game later in the season?"

Thanks for your response.

In your text quoted above, you refer to four decisions. Three were punt/no-punt decisions and one was a go-for-2pts/go-for-1pt decision.

Would you please be willing to give us the GWCs (game winning chances) for both sides of each of these four decisions?

Thank you very much.

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