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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 11 July 2007, at 9:10 p.m.

In Response To: Michigan - Sax & Stick (Stick)

Steve was definitely too good in the previous rolls and I thought at the time this might be a thin take. I would still pass it noting that putting my spare from my 3 pt. to my 5 pt. (or anywhere alive in the outfield) would get me to take.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 4, user 5 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: gnubg to play 14

gnubg	82
user	142
Position ID: c3YAhA0be7MAAA Match ID: MIFwAUAAKAAA

• gnubg doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5682	(Money: +0.5465)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.9554
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.0446
3.	No double	+0.8420	-0.1133
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6704 0.2415 0.0026 - 0.3296 0.0376 0.0009 +0.5682 +0.8420 Standard error 0.0018 0.0025 0.0002 - 0.0018 0.0021 0.0004 0.0045 0.0108 Player user owns 2-cube 0.6685 0.2674 0.0041 - 0.3315 0.0384 0.0008 +1.2235 +0.9554 Standard error 0.0022 0.0029 0.0005 - 0.0022 0.0021 0.0008 0.0115 0.0153
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069084107 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Michigan - Sax & Stick
  Stick -- Tuesday, 10 July 2007, at 11:33 a.m.
  • Michigan - Sax & Stick
    Mislav Radica -- Tuesday, 10 July 2007, at 1:52 p.m.
  • Michigan - Sax & Stick
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 10 July 2007, at 4:22 p.m.
    • Michigan - Sax & Stick
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 10 July 2007, at 8:01 p.m.
  • Michigan - Sax & Stick
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 11 July 2007, at 2:44 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Wednesday, 11 July 2007, at 9:10 p.m.