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Analysis

Posted By: Steve Mellen
Date: Wednesday, 27 October 2010, at 1:11 a.m.

In Response To: Analysis (Chuck Bower)

I would note that the decision which was discussed ad infinitum was a hypothetical with 3 minutes left, not the actual situation with 6 minutes left. I assume that the more time remaining in the game, the more correct it is to kick the PAT (for example, you would always kick in the first quarter).

The added vig from going for 2 seems to be the potential for winning even after you fail, because you need 2 scores. This is a very rare event, ergo the vig rates to be small. But as in backgammon, a play can be extremely clear even when the equity difference is small.

Messages In This Thread

• Question For Chuck Bower And Frank Frigo
  Paul Weaver -- Monday, 25 October 2010, at 5:45 p.m.
  • Answer for Paul Weaver
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 25 October 2010, at 9:17 p.m.
    • A good example
      Chuck Bower -- Monday, 25 October 2010, at 10:36 p.m.
      • Question for Dr. Bower
        Paul Weaver -- Monday, 25 October 2010, at 11:45 p.m.
        • Some answers
          Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 26 October 2010, at 4:07 p.m.
          • Some answers
            Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 26 October 2010, at 6:22 p.m.
            • Some answers
              Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 26 October 2010, at 9:14 p.m.
              • Some answers
                Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 26 October 2010, at 9:16 p.m.
      • Can Chuck Give A PR to FootBall Coaches?
        Paul Weaver -- Monday, 25 October 2010, at 11:50 p.m.
        • been there,...
          Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 26 October 2010, at 3:51 p.m.
      • Analysis
        Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 27 October 2010, at 12:29 a.m.
        • Analysis
          Steve Mellen -- Wednesday, 27 October 2010, at 1:11 a.m.
          • Analysis
            Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 27 October 2010, at 11:41 a.m.
          • Analysis
            Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 27 October 2010, at 2:15 p.m.
        • Analysis
          Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 27 October 2010, at 1:25 a.m.