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On the fence

Posted By: Christian Munk-Christensen
Date: Wednesday, 27 October 2010, at 1:29 p.m.

In Response To: On the fence (Stick)

I got cubed and had to spend some time on this decision, figuring out my TP, the opp's TP on my recubes, estimating my game winning chances and the Gs.

I ended up taking but didn't feel super confident about my decision because I felt that my recubes would be fairly inefficient in this type of position. I reckoned that I would have to hit to be able to recube and then it would be an easy pass. So I didn't take, expecting to win a lot of 4 cubes.

OtB I figured that I would win this about 25% of the time and with recube vig I felt that was enough to squeeze out an unhappy take.

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