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Redouble -- Rollouts

Posted By: tem_sat
Date: Saturday, 30 October 2010, at 1:01 a.m.

In Response To: Redouble (tem_sat)

Original score:

is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 91
11 point match
pip: 35
score: 6

is Player 1
XGID=-DECaaB-------a----babbcb-:1:1:1:00:6:1:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 89.68% (G: 20.05% B: 0.04%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 10.32% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 89.86% (G: 23.18% B: 0.05%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 10.14% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.978
Redouble:+1.606
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.991 (-0.009)
Redouble/Take:+1.354 (+0.354)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
1297 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 17292164
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Search interval: Huge
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.002 (+0.989...+0.994)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.006 (+1.348...+1.361)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 36 minutes 07 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

At 6-away, 10-away:

is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 91
11 point match
pip: 35
score: 5

is Player 1
XGID=-DECaaB-------a----babbcb-:1:1:1:00:5:1:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 89.63% (G: 20.05% B: 0.05%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 10.37% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 90.21% (G: 20.61% B: 0.09%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 9.79% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.984
Redouble:+1.708
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.998 (-0.002)
Redouble/Take:+1.539 (+0.539)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
10608 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 17292164
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Search interval: Huge
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.001 (+0.997...+0.999)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.002 (+1.537...+1.541)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 3 hours 57 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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