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Would you make a play in 5 seconds? Rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Monday, 1 November 2010, at 7:19 a.m.

In Response To: Would you make a play in 5 seconds? (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I played 6/5*/3, not so much because I had time problems as because I thought the play was dead obvious. Between the two deuces I had no idea and XGR+ likes 5/3 but RO prefers 6/4 (not leaving a joker 66). Was surprised to hear so many other players saying they wouldn't hit after the match.





White is Player 2

score: 11
pip: 64
15 point match
pip: 48
score: 12

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--CBBaB---b-----A-----a-k-:0:0:1:12:12:11:0:15:10
Blue to play 12

1.Rollout16/4 6/5* eq: +1.345
Player:
Opponent:
94.81% (G:21.57% B:0.36%)
5.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+1.342...+1.348)
Duration: 2 minutes 36 seconds
2.Rollout16/5* 5/3eq: +1.338 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
94.62% (G:22.07% B:0.33%)
5.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+1.335...+1.341)
Duration: 2 minutes 25 seconds
3.Rollout116/14 6/5* eq: +1.324 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
91.06% (G:22.83% B:0.52%)
8.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (+1.320...+1.328)
Duration: 4 minutes 05 seconds
4.Rollout116/13eq: +1.207 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:
97.51% (G:12.41% B:0.23%)
2.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf: ± 0.002 (+1.205...+1.209)
Duration: 1 minute 19 seconds
5.Rollout116/14 2/1eq: +1.196 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:
96.78% (G:12.26% B:0.14%)
3.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+1.193...+1.199)
Duration: 1 minute 26 seconds
6.Rollout13/1 2/1eq: +1.188 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:
96.35% (G:11.75% B:0.13%)
3.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+1.185...+1.191)
Duration: 1 minute 29 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 134923
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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