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Rollout 5-2 from the bar

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 11 December 2006, at 11:25 p.m.

In Response To: Moves leading up to today's OLM (Stick)

Even though it's only borderline stat. sig. the difference in the moves is more like what I was expecting.


Match to 25, tied at 2
68
144
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/20* 13/11 0.089
0.2% 37.3% 49.5% 50.5% 7.8% 0.3%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.285 ±0.018. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 25254 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2 R bar/20* 3/1 0.052 (-0.037)
0.1% 36.4% 48.8% 51.2% 9.1% 0.3%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.247 ±0.015. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 33422 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

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