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Tricky 51

Posted By: Frank Raposa
Date: Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 1:39 p.m.

In Response To: Tricky 51 (Rich Munitz)

"I can't find anything other than hit and the 9 point for the ace" "The 23 point for the ace seems like a perfectly fine alternative and looks clearly better to me for the 55% of the time when no dance occurs. Not getting hit with 36 is a bonus."

It looks like no matter how the ace is played there will be 5/36 shots at the outfield blot. I like playing to the 23 because I don't wanna duplicate my 3's which could cover the ace, and step up with the straggler. And stepping up looks better in case white throws an akward double 5. Also in the case of a freak exchange of hits, I don't want my 4's duplicated (coming in on 21 pt vs. hitting 13-9) I'd go 24-23. But I guess the real question is what's the value of a direct cover for White's 3 pt.

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