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Rollout

Posted By: Justin N.
Date: Friday, 5 November 2010, at 5:15 a.m.

In Response To: Tricky 51 (Justin N.)

I never even considered the #1 play here, because anything other than hitting seemed too passive and wimpy given the score and cube position. Surely the 50 pip race lead must lend some credibility to the bot play, but not sure what rules of thumb to take away from this one.

	is Player 2 score: 5 pip: 159 7 point match pip: 109 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=-aB-CCC-d-A-bB-a---bb-c-A-:1:-1:1:51:0:5:0:7:10
to play 51

1.	Rollout1	24/23 10/5	eq: +0.956
	Player: Opponent: 73.40% (G:41.87% B:0.76%) 26.60% (G:4.93% B:0.36%) Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.948...+0.964) Duration: 2 hours 33 minutes
2.	Rollout1	24/23 6/1*	eq: +0.910 (-0.045)
	Player: Opponent: 69.29% (G:45.29% B:0.67%) 30.71% (G:8.12% B:0.87%) Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.902...+0.918) Duration: 6 hours 49 minutes
3.	Rollout1	10/9 6/1*	eq: +0.903 (-0.053)
	Player: Opponent: 68.68% (G:45.75% B:0.65%) 31.32% (G:7.74% B:0.92%) Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.895...+0.911) Duration: 7 hours 04 minutes
4.	Rollout1	10/4	eq: +0.870 (-0.086)
	Player: Opponent: 70.42% (G:39.72% B:0.65%) 29.58% (G:4.57% B:0.33%) Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.862...+0.878) Duration: 2 hours 06 minutes
5.	Rollout1	6/1* 2/1	eq: +0.809 (-0.146)
	Player: Opponent: 66.29% (G:41.79% B:0.60%) 33.71% (G:8.24% B:0.87%) Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.801...+0.817) Duration: 2 hours 13 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Tricky 51
  Justin N. -- Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 12:36 a.m.
  • Tricky 51
    Keene -- Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 3:43 a.m.
    • Tricky 51
      Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 4:40 a.m.
      • Tricky 51
        Frank Raposa -- Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 1:39 p.m.
        • Tricky 51
          Michael Nielsen -- Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 2:32 p.m.
        • Tricky 51
          Keene -- Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 3:05 p.m.
          • Tricky 51
            Keene -- Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 3:08 p.m.
            • Tricky 51
              Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 4:51 p.m.
  • Tricky 51
    garyo -- Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 4:15 p.m.
  • Tricky 51
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 4 November 2010, at 10:29 p.m.
  • Tricky 51
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 5 November 2010, at 1:32 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Justin N. -- Friday, 5 November 2010, at 5:15 a.m.
  • Tricky 51
    Stick -- Friday, 5 November 2010, at 11:59 a.m.