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American football analogy?

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 7:05 p.m.

In Response To: American football analogy? (Chuck Bower)

I don't think these situations are analogous. Your goal in bg match play is not to get the most points; it is to get the required number of points. As the weaker player, that aim is best served by avoiding the long run and that can be done by creating situations where a large number of points are put at stake at once. An analogy would be that your goal is to walk away with a $100 profit at a casino where each bet has a 10% vig. Are you more likely to accomplish that goal by placing exactly 3 $60 bets or 180 $1 bets? Your equity is the same in both cases, but your chance of walking away with $100 is greater in the first case.

Messages In This Thread

• Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
  happyjuggler0 -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 5:53 a.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:19 a.m.
    • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
      higonefive -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:37 a.m.
      • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
        Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:45 a.m.
        • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
          higonefive -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 7:13 a.m.
          • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
            Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 7:49 a.m.
            • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
              higonefive -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 9:19 a.m.
              • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
                Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 9:49 a.m.
      • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
        Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:47 p.m.
        • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
          Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 10:56 a.m.
    • American football analogy?
      Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:42 p.m.
      • American football analogy?
        Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 7:05 p.m.
      • American football analogy?
        Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 9:01 p.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    mtuhtan -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:24 a.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:51 a.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 8:21 a.m.
    • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
      Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 9:04 a.m.
    • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
      rew -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 1:55 p.m.
    • the old
      garyo -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 6:32 p.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    phil simborg -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 1:53 p.m.
  • Error rate differences
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 3:25 p.m.
    • Error rate differences
      Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 8:37 p.m.
      • Error rate differences
        Timothy Chow -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 1:06 a.m.
        • Error rate differences
          Chuck Bower -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 2:51 a.m.
        • Error rate differences
          Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 6:05 a.m.
          • Error rate differences
            Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 10:48 a.m.
            • Error rate differences
              Timothy Chow -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 6:15 p.m.
              • Error rate differences
                Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 10:32 p.m.
                • Error rate differences
                  Timothy Chow -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 11:44 p.m.
                  • Error rate differences
                    Maik Stiebler -- Saturday, 13 November 2010, at 8:49 a.m.
            • Error rate differences
              Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 10:42 p.m.
              • Error rate differences
                Fabrice Liardet -- Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 7:35 p.m.
                • Error rate differences
                  Maik Stiebler -- Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 7:46 p.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    Steve Mellen -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 10:00 p.m.