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Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?

Posted By: Steve Mellen
Date: Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 10:00 p.m.

In Response To: Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent? (happyjuggler0)

The better BG player is the one who wins more matches. Everything else is an effort to approximate that.

Consider the situation where I give a horrible cube, knowing my opponent will drop. I won't score well on either measure; my doubling error might have even been bigger on paper than my opponent's passing error. But it was still the winning play.

I actually think error rate is somewhat useless for doubling decisions because there is no way to quantify the chance that your opponent will make the wrong decision. If I incorrectly double and my opponent incorrectly passes, it still might have been the wrong decision on my part; I might just be fortunate that this was the one time my opponent decided to drop. All you can do to estimate whether a player is good at reading his opponents is look at the long-term results.

Messages In This Thread

• Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
  happyjuggler0 -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 5:53 a.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:19 a.m.
    • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
      higonefive -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:37 a.m.
      • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
        Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:45 a.m.
        • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
          higonefive -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 7:13 a.m.
          • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
            Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 7:49 a.m.
            • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
              higonefive -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 9:19 a.m.
              • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
                Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 9:49 a.m.
      • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
        Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:47 p.m.
        • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
          Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 10:56 a.m.
    • American football analogy?
      Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:42 p.m.
      • American football analogy?
        Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 7:05 p.m.
      • American football analogy?
        Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 9:01 p.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    mtuhtan -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:24 a.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 6:51 a.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 8:21 a.m.
    • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
      Michael Petch -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 9:04 a.m.
    • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
      rew -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 1:55 p.m.
    • the old
      garyo -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 6:32 p.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    phil simborg -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 1:53 p.m.
  • Error rate differences
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 3:25 p.m.
    • Error rate differences
      Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 8:37 p.m.
      • Error rate differences
        Timothy Chow -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 1:06 a.m.
        • Error rate differences
          Chuck Bower -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 2:51 a.m.
        • Error rate differences
          Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 6:05 a.m.
          • Error rate differences
            Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 10:48 a.m.
            • Error rate differences
              Timothy Chow -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 6:15 p.m.
              • Error rate differences
                Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 10:32 p.m.
                • Error rate differences
                  Timothy Chow -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 11:44 p.m.
                  • Error rate differences
                    Maik Stiebler -- Saturday, 13 November 2010, at 8:49 a.m.
            • Error rate differences
              Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 12 November 2010, at 10:42 p.m.
              • Error rate differences
                Fabrice Liardet -- Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 7:35 p.m.
                • Error rate differences
                  Maik Stiebler -- Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 7:46 p.m.
  • Who is the better BG player: the one who has the lowest error rate, or the one who somehow maximizes the difference between his errror rate and that of his opponent?
    Steve Mellen -- Thursday, 11 November 2010, at 10:00 p.m.