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Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis

Posted By: rambiz
Date: Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 9:35 p.m.

In Response To: Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis (Rich Munitz)

ok it is a pass but can someone please interpret the numbers? how in the world can the trailer win more single games if the cube is already given?! i have some kind of an idea but won't bias your minds for now.

The score (after 0 games) is: Leader 10, Trailer 7 (match to 15 points)

Move number 5: Trailer on roll, cube decision?

Leader	104
Trailer	89
Position ID: G7cDAyB2uxkAQA Match ID: UQngAaAAOAAA

• Trailer doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless MWC		36.87%	(Money: +0.381)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	43.50%
2.	Double, take	44.27%	0.77%
3.	No double	40.10%	-3.40%
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Trailer owns 2-cube 0.629 0.149 0.009 - 0.371 0.035 0.001 36.87% 40.10% Standard error 0.003 0.003 0.003 - 0.003 0.003 0.000 0.08% 0.12% Player Leader owns 4-cube 0.639 0.146 0.012 - 0.361 0.044 0.004 45.00% 44.27% Standard error 0.003 0.004 0.005 - 0.003 0.005 0.003 0.19% 0.20%
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
301 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 902547708 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis
  Rich Munitz -- Saturday, 13 November 2010, at 9:38 p.m.
  • Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis
    christian munk-christensen -- Saturday, 13 November 2010, at 9:53 p.m.
  • Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis
    Michael Petch -- Saturday, 13 November 2010, at 10:08 p.m.
  • Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis
    higonefive -- Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 12:35 a.m.
  • Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis
    garyo -- Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 11:26 a.m.
  • Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 1:05 p.m.
  • Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis
    Martaille Jean-Francois -- Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 6:47 p.m.
  • Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 7:05 p.m.
  • Vegas Super Jackpot Quarterfinals: Munitz vs Davis
    rambiz -- Sunday, 14 November 2010, at 9:35 p.m.