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Thx..RO of that position (noting that I think you're correct)

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 3:58 a.m.

In Response To: What was different? (John O'Hagan)

I'd written down the position, but lost it. I do remember trailing by 11 pips. I think you're correct that his ace pt was open and his builder on the 3 pt. Anyhow, I chose my incorrect 61 play with full fear that he'd close me out with 22 from the roof.

is Player 2

score: 10
pip: 89
15 point match
pip: 100
score: 13

is Player 1
XGID=aC-BBBB-A----A---bbbBbcba-:0:0:1:00:13:10:0:15:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 74.73% (G: 6.95% B: 0.25%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.27% (G: 3.63% B: 0.14%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.63% (G: 9.48% B: 0.13%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.37% (G: 3.34% B: 0.26%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.591
Double:+1.626
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.821 (-0.054)
Double/Take:+0.874
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.126)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 29794098
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.005 (+0.815...+0.826)
Confidence Double: ± 0.010 (+0.864...+0.884)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 05 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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