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Lot's of discussion about this match cube at the club tonight...

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Thursday, 18 November 2010, at 8:54 a.m.

In Response To: Lot's of discussion about this match cube at the club tonight... (Justin N.)

Double and Pass.

You win a very high percentage gammons from here, and you are favorite to win this game because of the race lead. Call it 30% normal wins and 30% gammon wins and say 30% normal losses and 10% gammon losses; and cube ownership is not going to be a big help for opp. But let's say half of your normal losses are on 4 (that's generous). Then you MWC are approximately 30% + 30%*60% + 15%*18% = 50.7% after double and take, and that is conservative.

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