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21 from bar

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 5:09 p.m.

In Response To: 21 from bar (mtuhtan)

I don't think this is a next at all. Magriel's safe/bold criteria point mostly towards safety here so I think I'd play B/22. That triplicates White's 5s and gives White some difficult choices on rolls like 64,63,54,52,51,44,43,41,32,31,22,21, and 11. 2nd choice is B/23 18/17x. That gives White 25 return hits from the roof and the cube will be coming if you then dance or (maybe) if you roll a bad entering number. I think that's a little too much risk. The score is a consideration as well since the oppt will double more aggressively than normal ATS. Could be wrong but I'd play B/22.

Messages In This Thread

• 21 from bar
  mtuhtan -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 3:44 p.m.
  • 21 from bar
    ah_clem -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 4:16 p.m.
  • 21 from bar
    John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 5:09 p.m.
  • 21 from bar
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 10:36 p.m.
    • 21 from bar
      Fabrice Liardet -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 11:11 p.m.
  • 21 from bar
    Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 11:19 p.m.
  • 21 from bar
    mtuhtan -- Tuesday, 30 November 2010, at 6:34 p.m.
    • 21 from bar
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 30 November 2010, at 6:37 p.m.
      • 21 from bar
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 30 November 2010, at 8:34 p.m.
  • 21 from bar, XGR+ analysis
    mtuhtan -- Wednesday, 1 December 2010, at 1:58 p.m.