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Black on roll, cube action?

Posted By: Stanley E. Richards
Date: Wednesday, 1 December 2010, at 9:08 a.m.

In Response To: Black on roll, cube action? (John O'Hagan)

At normal scores, I like taking gammonish cubes if I have a 30% chance of winning. More precisely, I will take if I have a 30% chance and my gammon losses are about 18% to 25%. I will take at 27% if my gammon losses are about 12% or less.

I like this problem because it is not one of those very difficult, atypical BGO problems. Those are still fun. But this type of scenario frequently occurs and one must learn to note the slight differences to properly judge.

Although White probably has a 30% GWC, the gammon losses are scary. The take point begins to skyrocket when facing a larger than 25% gammon loss. Thus, I drop this due to the very high gammon losses. This is not an unusual situation. Sometimes, I accurately estimate wins and gammon loss risk and get these right. Sometimes, I do not.

Stanley

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