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21 from bar, XGR+ analysis

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Wednesday, 1 December 2010, at 1:58 p.m.

In Response To: 21 from bar (mtuhtan)

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 144 15 point match pip: 162 score: 7 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---CCaB---dD---aBdbb---A:0:0:1:21:7:1:0:15:10
Blue to play 21

1.	XG Roller+	Bar/23 18/17*	eq: -0,240
	Player: Opponent: 48,71% (G:13,24% B:0,79%) 51,29% (G:18,98% B:1,04%)
* 2.	XG Roller+	Bar/22	eq: -0,335 (-0,095)
	Player: Opponent: 45,32% (G:10,43% B:0,45%) 54,68% (G:16,51% B:0,51%)
3.	XG Roller+	Bar/23 8/7*	eq: -0,357 (-0,116)
	Player: Opponent: 46,47% (G:12,87% B:0,65%) 53,53% (G:22,17% B:1,20%)
4.	XG Roller+	Bar/23 6/5	eq: -0,418 (-0,177)
	Player: Opponent: 43,84% (G:10,33% B:0,44%) 56,16% (G:18,14% B:0,60%)
5.	XG Roller+	Bar/24 13/11	eq: -0,418 (-0,178)
	Player: Opponent: 43,96% (G:10,32% B:0,40%) 56,04% (G:18,76% B:0,70%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

I played bar/22.

I have considered bar/23 18/17*, but as I'm ahead in match I didn't like leaving three blots, scared of potential gammon loses.

After seeing that my move is -0,095 error, I was sure that players here would consider this position "next!". But I'm glad that's not true because that in my eyes means that I made smaller error :)

Thank you all for your comments, now this position is little clearer for me.

Messages In This Thread

• 21 from bar
  mtuhtan -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 3:44 p.m.
  • 21 from bar
    ah_clem -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 4:16 p.m.
  • 21 from bar
    John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 5:09 p.m.
  • 21 from bar
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 10:36 p.m.
    • 21 from bar
      Fabrice Liardet -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 11:11 p.m.
  • 21 from bar
    Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 27 November 2010, at 11:19 p.m.
  • 21 from bar
    mtuhtan -- Tuesday, 30 November 2010, at 6:34 p.m.
    • 21 from bar
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 30 November 2010, at 6:37 p.m.
      • 21 from bar
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 30 November 2010, at 8:34 p.m.
  • 21 from bar, XGR+ analysis
    mtuhtan -- Wednesday, 1 December 2010, at 1:58 p.m.