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RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 2 December 2010, at 2:21 p.m.

In Response To: Black on roll, cube action? (John O'Hagan)

I incorrectly passed this one. Our winning chances are a little higher than what I thought OTB.

is XG Roller+

score: 4
pip: 127
13 point match
pip: 139
score: 4

is John O'Hagan
XGID=---BbBD-C---aB-a-c-d-bb-AA:0:0:-1:00:4:4:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 66.70% (G: 30.18% B: 0.80%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.30% (G: 7.31% B: 0.40%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.02% (G: 32.05% B: 0.73%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.98% (G: 7.24% B: 0.44%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.566
Double:+1.219
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.759 (-0.183)
Double/Take:+0.941
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.059)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.016 (+0.743...+0.775)
Confidence Double: ± 0.024 (+0.917...+0.966)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 9 minutes 31 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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