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Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: White to play 62 (John O'Hagan)
Date: Friday, 3 December 2010, at 6:15 p.m.
I didn't catch the QF aspect of this play while playing and quickly played the obvious 24/22 10/4. Running is much better. The race is close and running out forces a direct shot on 64 and 54 and multiple indirects on a few others. Barring doubles, the oppt will have to choose between making an inside point or safetying his midpoint blot. If he chooses the latter, it makes your task of escaping the last checker a bit easier.
is XG Roller+
score: 0
pip: 11413 point match pip: 120
score: 3
is John O'Hagan
XGID=--BB--DBB-A-a---bdce--A-A-:1:1:1:62:3:0:0:13:10 to play 62
1. Rollout1 22/14 eq: -0.320
Player:
Opponent:32.07% (G:4.52% B:0.05%)
67.93% (G:7.88% B:0.32%)Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.329...-0.311)
Duration: 5 minutes 38 seconds2. Rollout1 24/22 10/4 eq: -0.414 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:27.43% (G:1.51% B:0.02%)
72.57% (G:4.44% B:0.12%)Conf: ± 0.007 (-0.421...-0.407)
Duration: 4 minutes 25 seconds3. Rollout1 24/22 7/1 eq: -0.428 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:26.93% (G:1.57% B:0.03%)
73.07% (G:4.61% B:0.15%)Conf: ± 0.007 (-0.435...-0.421)
Duration: 3 minutes 41 seconds4. Rollout1 24/22 8/2 eq: -0.432 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:26.73% (G:1.45% B:0.02%)
73.27% (G:4.77% B:0.16%)Conf: ± 0.007 (-0.439...-0.425)
Duration: 3 minutes 17 seconds5. Rollout1 22/20 10/4 eq: -0.469 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:27.58% (G:3.88% B:0.09%)
72.42% (G:11.50% B:0.43%)Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.478...-0.460)
Duration: 5 minutes 11 seconds6. Rollout1 10/4 6/4 eq: -0.508 (-0.188)
Player:
Opponent:25.73% (G:2.39% B:0.04%)
74.27% (G:9.98% B:0.30%)Conf: ± 0.007 (-0.515...-0.501)
Duration: 4 minutes 16 seconds1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyeXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
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