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2 Rollouts: Hit or play safe?

Posted By: Flaccus
Date: Wednesday, 8 December 2010, at 4:49 p.m.

In Response To: Hit or play safe? (Flaccus)

With a centered cube:




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 121
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BABbBBBB---b---a-Bbbdb---:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout118/15 18/16* eq: +0,293
Player:
Opponent:
58,21% (G:19,11% B:0,50%)
41,79% (G:14,99% B:1,00%)
Conf: ± 0,007 (+0,286...+0,300)
Duration: 23 minutes 16 seconds
2.Rollout118/16* 16/13eq: +0,283 (-0,010)
Player:
Opponent:
58,05% (G:18,55% B:0,47%)
41,95% (G:14,84% B:0,82%)
Conf: ± 0,006 (+0,277...+0,289)
Duration: 20 minutes 26 seconds
3.Rollout18/6 8/5eq: +0,252 (-0,041)
Player:
Opponent:
57,87% (G:10,39% B:0,21%)
42,13% (G:6,92% B:0,25%)
Conf: ± 0,007 (+0,245...+0,259)
Duration: 39 minutes 08 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

with white owning the cube:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 121
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BABbBBBB---b---a-Bbbdb---:1:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout18/6 8/5eq: +0,052
Player:
Opponent:
58,10% (G:10,41% B:0,19%)
41,90% (G:7,06% B:0,26%)
Conf: ± 0,004 (+0,048...+0,056)
Duration: 49 minutes 32 seconds
2.Rollout118/15 18/16* eq: +0,032 (-0,020)
Player:
Opponent:
58,37% (G:18,53% B:0,40%)
41,63% (G:15,22% B:1,02%)
Conf: ± 0,006 (+0,026...+0,038)
Duration: 1 hour 13 minutes
3.Rollout218/16* 16/13eq: -0,007 (-0,059)
Player:
Opponent:
57,79% (G:18,04% B:0,36%)
42,21% (G:15,20% B:0,83%)
Conf: ± 0,006 (-0,013...-0,001)
Duration: 1 hour 07 minutes
1 6511 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 6510 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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