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RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Saturday, 11 December 2010, at 2:56 a.m.

In Response To: White on roll, cube action? (John O'Hagan)

The rollout sez the leader has a somewhat close take ATS. He's up 25 in the race and has a bigger board. 2-cube g values only slightly favor the trailer ATS. Recube vig is worth a lot less of course. The net is a close take.

	is XG Roller+ score: 9 pip: 109 13 point match pip: 134 score: 4 is John O'Hagan
XGID=-a---BDCBA--a-Ac-a-bBcbb--:0:0:1:00:4:9:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	68.54% (G: 16.44% B: 0.63%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	31.46% (G: 7.06% B: 0.40%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	69.03% (G: 18.71% B: 0.76%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	30.97% (G: 8.07% B: 0.90%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.445
Double:	+1.000
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.767 (-0.183)
Double/Take:	+0.951
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.049)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.011 (+0.756...+0.778)
Confidence Double:	± 0.017 (+0.933...+0.968)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 25 minutes 38 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• White on roll, cube action?
  John O'Hagan -- Friday, 10 December 2010, at 1:46 a.m.
  • White on roll, cube action?
    Bill Riles -- Friday, 10 December 2010, at 1:56 a.m.
  • White on roll, cube action?
    Michael Petch -- Friday, 10 December 2010, at 10:36 a.m.
  • White on roll, cube action?
    ah_clem -- Friday, 10 December 2010, at 12:27 p.m.
  • White on roll, cube action?
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 10 December 2010, at 12:45 p.m.
  • White on roll, cube action?
    neilkaz -- Friday, 10 December 2010, at 5:40 p.m.
  • RO
    John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 11 December 2010, at 2:56 a.m.