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Rollout Result Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Saturday, 11 December 2010, at 7:40 p.m.

In Response To: Redoubling Decision at -7-3 (Paul Weaver)

is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 158
7 point match
pip: 149
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b--BBCaB-A-cCa--b-b-bbA-A:1:1:1:00:0:3:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 57.70% (G: 22.34% B: 3.46%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42.30% (G: 15.04% B: 2.53%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 58.07% (G: 22.18% B: 6.25%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.93% (G: 15.45% B: 2.84%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.289
Redouble:+1.033
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.789 (-0.211)
Redouble/Take:+1.033 (+0.033)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.014 (+0.775...+0.803)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.018 (+1.015...+1.050)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 53 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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