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RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Wednesday, 15 December 2010, at 12:29 a.m.

In Response To: White to play 32 (John O'Hagan)

I made the donkey play of hitting here. That checker on the 23-point is poorly placed so I should've left it alone. Hitting does give the oppt 4 prime breakers vs. 3 after B/22 4/2 but giving the oppt a good chance to recirculate this checker is too high a price to pay for this 1/36 difference. Plus, entering on the 23 means I'm not at the edge.

	is XG Roller+ score: 2 pip: 116 13 point match pip: 120 score: 8 is John O'Hagan
XGID=---BCBBbB----C--bbbbbb-a-A:1:1:1:32:8:2:0:13:10
to play 32

1.	Rollout1	Bar/22 4/2	eq: -0.551
	Player: Opponent: 28.69% (G:9.13% B:0.77%) 71.31% (G:19.04% B:0.58%) Conf: ± 0.014 (-0.565...-0.537) Duration: 7 minutes 13 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/23* 13/10	eq: -0.632 (-0.081)
	Player: Opponent: 23.37% (G:8.80% B:0.91%) 76.63% (G:15.69% B:0.69%) Conf: ± 0.014 (-0.646...-0.618) Duration: 12 minutes 36 seconds
3.	4 ply	Bar/22 13/11	eq: -0.563 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 30.22% (G:6.84% B:0.25%) 69.78% (G:20.26% B:0.76%)
4.	4 ply	Bar/22 8/6	eq: -0.573 (-0.022)
	Player: Opponent: 28.63% (G:5.90% B:0.20%) 71.37% (G:18.00% B:0.67%)
5.	3 ply	Bar/22 5/3	eq: -0.690 (-0.139)
	Player: Opponent: 23.40% (G:4.82% B:0.14%) 76.60% (G:18.10% B:0.50%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• White to play 32
  John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 14 December 2010, at 12:08 a.m.
  • White to play 32
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 14 December 2010, at 1:08 a.m.
    • White to play 32
      Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 14 December 2010, at 6:39 a.m.
  • RO
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 15 December 2010, at 12:29 a.m.