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Variant

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 16 December 2010, at 4:03 p.m.

In Response To: DMP 51 RO. My favorite position of the year that I`ve had OTB. (DJansen)

I played around with a bunch of variants which I won't bother posting, but here is one of the more interesting variants, illustrating how much we have to weaken Blue's board to reach the breakeven point among the top three plays.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 115
1 point match
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BB-BaBA-----Cabb--cdbBA--:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 51

1.Rollout123/18 7/6eq: -0.434
Player:
Opponent:
28.28% (G:4.17% B:0.05%)
71.72% (G:21.23% B:1.01%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.438...-0.430)
Duration: 2 hours 55 minutes
2.Rollout113/7eq: -0.439 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
28.05% (G:5.18% B:0.05%)
71.95% (G:20.78% B:1.53%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.443...-0.435)
Duration: 2 hours 55 minutes
3.Rollout113/8 6/5* eq: -0.442 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
27.90% (G:6.78% B:0.09%)
72.10% (G:47.31% B:8.28%)
Conf: ± 0.006 (-0.448...-0.436)
Duration: 3 hours 53 minutes
4.Rollout123/17eq: -0.454 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
27.29% (G:4.93% B:0.06%)
72.71% (G:27.52% B:1.77%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.458...-0.450)
Duration: 3 hours 11 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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